Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$626.5
-$114.8
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $328.4 | $333.99 | +$5.59 | 93% 21625-1687 (23312) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $124.75 | $176.74 | +$51.99 | 51% 6071-5737 (11808) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 56.3¢ | $99.49 | $176.74 | +$77.25 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 25.8¢ | $25.26 | — | -$25.26 | |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.8¢ | $49.93 | — | -$49.93 | 58% 12169-8808 (20977) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.8¢ | $41.09 | — | -$41.09 | 49% 74757-77547 (152304) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $29.54 | — | -$29.54 | 58% 11859-8657 (20516) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 76.5¢ | $27.81 | $26.66 | -$1.15 | 52% 87214-81389 (168603) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $16.09 | $22.04 | +$5.95 | 63% 47883-28520 (76403) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.85 | $21.2 | +$10.35 | 66% 118087-62156 (180243) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.6¢ | $25.89 | — | -$10.49 | 65% 19899-10832 (30731) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $12.96 | $30.86 | +$17.9 | 58% 49342-35483 (84825) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $15.19 | — | -$15.19 | 67% 22348-11168 (33516) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $11.25 | $15 | +$3.75 | 59% 36738-26033 (62771) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.1¢ | $10.95 | — | -$10.95 | 56% 16477-13211 (29688) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19212-18458 (37670) |
Invested
$328.4
Value
$333.99
PnL
+$5.59
Record
93%
21625-1687 (23312)
Invested
$124.75
Value
$176.74
PnL
+$51.99
Record
51%
6071-5737 (11808)
Both legs:
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.93
Value
—
PnL
-$49.93
Record
58%
12169-8808 (20977)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$41.09
Value
—
PnL
-$41.09
Record
49%
74757-77547 (152304)
Invested
$29.54
Value
—
PnL
-$29.54
Record
58%
11859-8657 (20516)
Invested
$27.81
Value
$26.66
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
87214-81389 (168603)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.09
Value
$22.04
PnL
+$5.95
Record
63%
47883-28520 (76403)
Invested
$10.85
Value
$21.2
PnL
+$10.35
Record
66%
118087-62156 (180243)
Invested
$25.89
Value
—
PnL
-$10.49
Record
65%
19899-10832 (30731)
Invested
$12.96
Value
$30.86
PnL
+$17.9
Record
58%
49342-35483 (84825)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$15.19
Value
—
PnL
-$15.19
Record
67%
22348-11168 (33516)
Invested
$11.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.75
Record
59%
36738-26033 (62771)
Invested
$10.95
Value
—
PnL
-$10.95
Record
56%
16477-13211 (29688)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19212-18458 (37670)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $333.99
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $26.66
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $22.04
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $21.2
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
Down — $30.86