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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$365.33

Combined PnL

-$7.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$168.87

Total Shares169

Combined PnL+$50.78

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares130

Combined PnL-$58.3

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 64.3¢	$188.58	$196.46	+$7.88	51% 6071-5737 (11808)
└ Up leg	Upavg 64.3¢	$126.32	$196.46	+$70.14
└ Down leg	Downavg 33.8¢	$62.26	—	-$62.26
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 69.6¢	$47.84	$59.99	+$15.67	65% 19899-10832 (30731)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$25.01	—	-$25.01	58% 49342-35483 (84825)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 77¢	$30.32	$31.19	+$0.88	49% 74757-77547 (152304)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 44.6¢	$14.58	$32.66	+$18.08	59% 36738-26033 (62771)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$17.88	—	-$17.88	58% 58683-42785 (101468)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 36.5¢	$9.29	—	-$9.29	54% 9805-8340 (18145)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$2.93	—	-$2.93	59% 16237-11185 (27422)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 58.6¢	$11.77	$20.07	+$8.3	51% 19212-18458 (37670)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 61¢	$12.2	$20	+$7.8	66% 118087-62156 (180243)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	63% 47883-28520 (76403)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.89	$4.94	+$0.05	93% 21625-1687 (23312)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	52% 87214-81389 (168603)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$188.58

Value

$196.46

PnL

+$7.88

Record

51%

6071-5737 (11808)

Both legs:

Up$126.3264.3¢+$70.14

Down$62.2633.8¢-$62.26

Invested

$47.84

Value

$59.99

PnL

+$15.67

Record

65%

19899-10832 (30731)

Invested

$25.01

Value

—

PnL

-$25.01

Record

58%

49342-35483 (84825)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$30.32

Value

$31.19

PnL

+$0.88

Record

49%

74757-77547 (152304)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$14.58

Value

$32.66

PnL

+$18.08

Record

59%

36738-26033 (62771)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$17.88

Value

—

PnL

-$17.88

Record

58%

58683-42785 (101468)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$9.29

Value

—

PnL

-$9.29

Record

54%

9805-8340 (18145)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.93

Value

—

PnL

-$2.93

Record

59%

16237-11185 (27422)

Invested

$11.77

Value

$20.07

PnL

+$8.3

Record

51%

19212-18458 (37670)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$12.2

Value

$20

PnL

+$7.8

Record

66%

118087-62156 (180243)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

63%

47883-28520 (76403)

Invested

$4.89

Value

$4.94

PnL

+$0.05

Record

93%

21625-1687 (23312)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

52%

87214-81389 (168603)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x02886ec9...3a2636

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793028600

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

aaa221

Up — $59.99

PBot-6

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $31.19

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $32.66

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

thesidehustle

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

devonpoll

Up — $20.07

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

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