Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 63%
$360.4
-$25.57
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7Β’ | $157.84 | $160 | +$2.16 | 93% 21574-1680 (23254) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4Β’ | $34.72 | β | -$34.72 | 51% 6044-5707 (11751) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87.5Β’ | $87.5 | $100 | +$12.5 | 57% 64885-49078 (113963) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8Β’ | $3.11 | β | -$3.11 | 59% 16227-11170 (27397) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $46.27 | $50.29 | +$4.02 | 58% 11844-8645 (20489) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $32.96 | $30 | -$2.96 | 54% 9773-8307 (18080) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.1Β’ | $11 | β | -$11 | 56% 16429-13163 (29592) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $18.5 | $20.11 | +$1.61 | 66% 118014-62112 (180126) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82.2Β’ | $28.98 | $0 | +$5.93 | 65% 19843-10779 (30622) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 52% 17120-15945 (33065) |
Invested
$157.84
Value
$160
PnL
+$2.16
Record
93%
21574-1680 (23254)
Invested
$34.72
Value
β
PnL
-$34.72
Record
51%
6044-5707 (11751)
Invested
$87.5
Value
$100
PnL
+$12.5
Record
57%
64885-49078 (113963)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.11
Value
β
PnL
-$3.11
Record
59%
16227-11170 (27397)
Invested
$46.27
Value
$50.29
PnL
+$4.02
Record
58%
11844-8645 (20489)
Invested
$32.96
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.96
Record
54%
9773-8307 (18080)
Invested
$11
Value
β
PnL
-$11
Record
56%
16429-13163 (29592)
Invested
$18.5
Value
$20.11
PnL
+$1.61
Record
66%
118014-62112 (180126)
Invested
$28.98
Value
$0
PnL
+$5.93
Record
65%
19843-10779 (30622)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
17120-15945 (33065)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $160
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
Down β $100

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $50.29
thesidehustle
Down β $30
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20.11
aaa221
Down β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0