Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
$83.93
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $869.8 | $870 | +$0.2 | 84% 43982-8667 (52649) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 44.3¢ | $92.01 | $207.47 | +$115.46 | 59% 36626-25967 (62593) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8¢ | $26.98 | — | -$26.98 | 57% 64862-49061 (113923) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $90.17 | $97.79 | +$7.62 | 51% 6022-5698 (11720) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 80.1¢ | $78.36 | $97.79 | +$19.43 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 16.8¢ | $11.81 | — | -$11.81 | |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $70.24 | $70.95 | +$0.71 | 59% 16116-11138 (27254) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.6¢ | $4.29 | — | -$4.29 | 54% 9706-8245 (17951) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 93% 21534-1676 (23210) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.24 | — | -$1.24 | 65% 19783-10760 (30543) |
Invested
$869.8
Value
$870
PnL
+$0.2
Record
84%
43982-8667 (52649)
Invested
$92.01
Value
$207.47
PnL
+$115.46
Record
59%
36626-25967 (62593)
Invested
$26.98
Value
—
PnL
-$26.98
Record
57%
64862-49061 (113923)
Invested
$90.17
Value
$97.79
PnL
+$7.62
Record
51%
6022-5698 (11720)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$70.24
Value
$70.95
PnL
+$0.71
Record
59%
16116-11138 (27254)
Invested
$4.29
Value
—
PnL
-$4.29
Record
54%
9706-8245 (17951)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
93%
21534-1676 (23210)
Invested
$1.24
Value
—
PnL
-$1.24
Record
65%
19783-10760 (30543)
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