Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 57%
$785.97
$81.93
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4Β’ | $576.39 | $585.9 | +$9.51 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 96.3Β’ | $126.67 | $120 | +$113.33 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.4Β’ | $30.08 | $28 | -$2.08 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.1Β’ | $10.17 | β | -$10.17 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $19.23 | $19.25 | +$0.02 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $16.28 | β | -$16.28 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96.9Β’ | $15.23 | $13.64 | -$1.59 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.7Β’ | $8.53 | β | -$8.53 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $6.25 | $6.09 | -$0.16 | 59% 20563-14137 (34700) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $8.82 | $9.09 | +$0.27 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $2.52 | β | -$2.52 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2 | $4 | +$2 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.1Β’ | $1.27 | β | -$1.27 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4Β’ | $0.61 | β | -$0.61 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$576.39
Value
$585.9
PnL
+$9.51
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$126.67
Value
$120
PnL
+$113.33
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$30.08
Value
$28
PnL
-$2.08
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$10.17
Value
β
PnL
-$10.17
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Invested
$19.23
Value
$19.25
PnL
+$0.02
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
Invested
$16.28
Value
β
PnL
-$16.28
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$15.23
Value
$13.64
PnL
-$1.59
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
β
PnL
-$8.53
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$6.25
Value
$6.09
PnL
-$0.16
Record
59%
20563-14137 (34700)
Invested
$8.82
Value
$9.09
PnL
+$0.27
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$2.52
Value
β
PnL
-$2.52
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$2
Value
$4
PnL
+$2
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.27
Value
β
PnL
-$1.27
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.61
Value
β
PnL
-$0.61
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $585.9
ply-pm2
Down β $120
asidjasiodja
Down β $28
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp β $0
0x50f7
Down β $19.25
Bonereaper
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $13.64

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
rabadabadoo
Down β $6.09
asdaefef
Down β $9.09