Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 46%
$1.2K
-$165.31
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $956.52 | $969.2 | +$12.68 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 22.8¢ | $151.58 | — | -$151.58 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 24.8¢ | $34.29 | $118.21 | +$83.92 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 79.9¢ | $58.69 | $55 | -$3.69 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $54.07 | — | -$54.07 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.1¢ | $22.4 | — | -$22.4 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $21.56 | $20.16 | -$1.4 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $21.05 | — | -$21.05 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $3.14 | $8 | +$4.86 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $18.11 | $7.53 | +$0.31 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $5.61 | — | -$5.61 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 87.2¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$956.52
Value
$969.2
PnL
+$12.68
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$151.58
Value
—
PnL
-$151.58
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$34.29
Value
$118.21
PnL
+$83.92
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$58.69
Value
$55
PnL
-$3.69
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$54.07
Value
—
PnL
-$54.07
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$22.4
Value
—
PnL
-$22.4
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$21.56
Value
$20.16
PnL
-$1.4
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$21.05
Value
—
PnL
-$21.05
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$3.14
Value
$8
PnL
+$4.86
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$18.11
Value
$7.53
PnL
+$0.31
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$5.61
Value
—
PnL
-$5.61
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $969.2
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $118.21
thesidehustle
Down — $55
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $20.16
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $8
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $7.53