Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 62%
$189.34
-$8.35
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $61.33 | $62 | +$0.67 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.8¢ | $35.57 | $35.19 | -$0.38 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72.9¢ | $19.61 | $24.45 | +$4.84 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.4¢ | $22.88 | — | -$22.88 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $21.5 | $33 | +$11.5 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $12.1 | $10 | -$2.1 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.6¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $7.25 | $10.51 | +$3.26 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.02 | $4.19 | +$0.17 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.5¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
Invested
$61.33
Value
$62
PnL
+$0.67
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$35.57
Value
$35.19
PnL
-$0.38
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$19.61
Value
$24.45
PnL
+$4.84
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$22.88
Value
—
PnL
-$22.88
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$21.5
Value
$33
PnL
+$11.5
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$12.1
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.1
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$7.25
Value
$10.51
PnL
+$3.26
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$4.02
Value
$4.19
PnL
+$0.17
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
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