Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 50%
$637.48
-$30.03
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $492.46 | $499.87 | +$7.41 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 85.7Β’ | $65.39 | $72.75 | +$7.36 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 92.5Β’ | $45.68 | $26.79 | -$18.9 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.8Β’ | $16.64 | β | -$16.64 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 54Β’ | $15.12 | $28 | +$12.88 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $6.8 | β | -$6.8 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 25Β’ | $5.03 | β | -$5.03 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $10.9 | β | -$10.9 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $1.37 | β | -$1.37 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $1.9 | β | -$1.9 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $3.7 | $5.07 | +$1.37 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89.7Β’ | $10.47 | $0.01 | +$1.08 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
Invested
$492.46
Value
$499.87
PnL
+$7.41
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$65.39
Value
$72.75
PnL
+$7.36
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$45.68
Value
$26.79
PnL
-$18.9
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$16.64
Value
β
PnL
-$16.64
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$15.12
Value
$28
PnL
+$12.88
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$6.8
Value
β
PnL
-$6.8
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$5.03
Value
β
PnL
-$5.03
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.9
Value
β
PnL
-$10.9
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$1.37
Value
β
PnL
-$1.37
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$1.9
Value
β
PnL
-$1.9
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$3.7
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.37
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$10.47
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.08
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $499.87

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $72.75
ply-pm2
Down β $26.79
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $28
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $5
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0