Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 44%
$955.98
-$60.98
Smart Money Signal
7 of 16 top traders (44%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $549.82 | $558 | +$8.18 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 92.4Β’ | $173.26 | $183.98 | +$10.72 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 96Β’ | $113.95 | $118.7 | +$4.75 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $60.28 | $39.3 | -$20.98 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $35.07 | $31 | -$4.07 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.1Β’ | $13.18 | β | -$13.18 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.8Β’ | $14.56 | β | -$14.56 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 55Β’ | $13.04 | $12 | -$1.04 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96.5Β’ | $15.09 | $13 | -$2.09 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 31Β’ | $11.47 | β | -$11.47 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 54.3Β’ | $7.33 | β | -$7.33 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 26Β’ | $4.16 | β | -$4.16 | 58% 55142-40208 (95350) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $1.81 | β | -$1.81 | 58% 11584-8476 (20060) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 31Β’ | $1.55 | β | -$1.55 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.9Β’ | $0.69 | β | -$0.69 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
Invested
$549.82
Value
$558
PnL
+$8.18
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$173.26
Value
$183.98
PnL
+$10.72
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
pspspsps5Invested
$113.95
Value
$118.7
PnL
+$4.75
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$60.28
Value
$39.3
PnL
-$20.98
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$35.07
Value
$31
PnL
-$4.07
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$13.18
Value
β
PnL
-$13.18
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
Invested
$14.56
Value
β
PnL
-$14.56
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$13.04
Value
$12
PnL
-$1.04
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$15.09
Value
$13
PnL
-$2.09
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$11.47
Value
β
PnL
-$11.47
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$7.33
Value
β
PnL
-$7.33
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$4.16
Value
β
PnL
-$4.16
Record
58%
55142-40208 (95350)
Invested
$1.81
Value
β
PnL
-$1.81
Record
58%
11584-8476 (20060)
Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$1.55
Value
β
PnL
-$1.55
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.69
Value
β
PnL
-$0.69
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $558

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $183.98

pspspsps5
Down β $118.7
ply-pm2
Down β $39.3
asidjasiodja
Down β $31
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $12
asdaefef
Down β $13
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0