Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$554.46
$25.92
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 56.4¢ | $134.7 | $162.41 | +$27.71 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 58.7¢ | $85.24 | $108.99 | +$23.75 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 58.7¢ | $64.02 | $108.99 | +$44.97 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.6¢ | $21.22 | — | -$21.22 | |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 84.4¢ | $111.55 | $123.36 | +$11.81 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $34.99 | $30.54 | -$4.45 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $5.13 | — | -$5.13 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $23.48 | $19.46 | -$4.02 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $17 | $25 | +$8 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62.4¢ | $34.92 | $44 | +$22.76 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.4¢ | $17.51 | — | -$17.51 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.9¢ | $8.42 | — | -$8.42 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 75.1¢ | $15.8 | $21.04 | +$5.24 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $10.92 | $5 | -$1.72 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $5.98 | $6 | +$0.02 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $2.9 | $3.67 | +$0.77 | 58% 11584-8476 (20060) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
Invested
$134.7
Value
$162.41
PnL
+$27.71
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$85.24
Value
$108.99
PnL
+$23.75
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$111.55
Value
$123.36
PnL
+$11.81
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$34.99
Value
$30.54
PnL
-$4.45
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.13
Value
—
PnL
-$5.13
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$23.48
Value
$19.46
PnL
-$4.02
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$17
Value
$25
PnL
+$8
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$34.92
Value
$44
PnL
+$22.76
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$17.51
Value
—
PnL
-$17.51
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$8.42
Value
—
PnL
-$8.42
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$21.04
PnL
+$5.24
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
Invested
$10.92
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.72
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.98
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.02
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$2.9
Value
$3.67
PnL
+$0.77
Record
58%
11584-8476 (20060)
Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up — $162.41
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $123.36
asdaefef
Up — $30.54
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $19.46
thesidehustle
Up — $25
aaa221
Up — $44
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0