Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
$777.01
-$9.38
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $387.97 | $392 | +$4.03 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
AS asidjasiodja | Upavg 94.8¢ | $120.85 | $120.17 | -$0.68 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 56.1¢ | $49.58 | $60.29 | +$10.71 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.1¢ | $33.8 | $60.29 | +$26.48 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 11.4¢ | $15.78 | — | -$15.78 | |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.6¢ | $49.2 | — | -$49.2 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 49.5¢ | $56.52 | $114.1 | +$57.58 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.1¢ | $26.3 | — | -$26.3 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 77.3¢ | $18.37 | $13.62 | +$5.31 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $9.98 | $12 | +$2.02 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 77.7¢ | $11.05 | $14.22 | +$3.17 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $10.5 | $21 | +$10.5 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $10.11 | — | -$10.11 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 94.9¢ | $9.13 | $9.62 | +$0.49 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $4.06 | — | -$4.06 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.08 | — | -$2.08 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.5¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
Invested
$387.97
Value
$392
PnL
+$4.03
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$120.85
Value
$120.17
PnL
-$0.68
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$49.58
Value
$60.29
PnL
+$10.71
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Both legs:
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.2
Value
—
PnL
-$49.2
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
Invested
$56.52
Value
$114.1
PnL
+$57.58
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$26.3
Value
—
PnL
-$26.3
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$19
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$18.37
Value
$13.62
PnL
+$5.31
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$9.98
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.02
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.05
Value
$14.22
PnL
+$3.17
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$21
PnL
+$10.5
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
Invested
$10.11
Value
—
PnL
-$10.11
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$9.13
Value
$9.62
PnL
+$0.49
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.06
Value
—
PnL
-$4.06
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$2.08
Value
—
PnL
-$2.08
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
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