Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 83%
$884.84
$10.46
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $425.32 | $434 | +$8.68 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $221.8 | $222.02 | +$0.22 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 95.8Β’ | $116.35 | $107.67 | -$8.68 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $25.8 | $28.48 | +$2.67 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 84.2Β’ | $21.07 | $25.02 | +$3.95 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.5Β’ | $22.33 | $24.96 | +$2.63 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76.1Β’ | $13.2 | $17.34 | +$4.14 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 69.6Β’ | $10.65 | $15.29 | +$4.64 | 56% 15511-12385 (27896) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.4Β’ | $5.29 | β | -$5.29 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $4.45 | $5.06 | +$0.61 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2.5 | $5 | +$2.5 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.2Β’ | $8.34 | β | -$5.62 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$425.32
Value
$434
PnL
+$8.68
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$221.8
Value
$222.02
PnL
+$0.22
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$116.35
Value
$107.67
PnL
-$8.68
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$25.8
Value
$28.48
PnL
+$2.67
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$21.07
Value
$25.02
PnL
+$3.95
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.33
Value
$24.96
PnL
+$2.63
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$13.2
Value
$17.34
PnL
+$4.14
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$10.65
Value
$15.29
PnL
+$4.64
Record
56%
15511-12385 (27896)
Invested
$5.29
Value
β
PnL
-$5.29
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.61
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.5
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
Invested
$8.34
Value
β
PnL
-$5.62
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $434
0x50f7
Down β $222.02

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $107.67
ply-pm2
Down β $28.48
uninformedfloww
Down β $25.02

MayorMamdani
Down β $24.96
asidjasiodja
Down β $17.34
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $15.29
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $5.06