Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$142.08
-$15.02
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $49.58 | $50.08 | +$0.5 | 64% 37926-21432 (59358) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 67.4¢ | $36.2 | $41 | +$4.8 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $31.94 | $31 | -$0.94 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.1¢ | $14.06 | — | -$14.06 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $8 | $20 | +$12 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.62 | — | -$0.62 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 56% 15511-12385 (27896) |
ohioism<$100Invested
$49.58
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$0.5
Record
64%
37926-21432 (59358)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$36.2
Value
$41
PnL
+$4.8
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$31.94
Value
$31
PnL
-$0.94
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$14.06
Value
—
PnL
-$14.06
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$8
Value
$20
PnL
+$12
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
Invested
$0.62
Value
—
PnL
-$0.62
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
56%
15511-12385 (27896)
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