Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 56%
$306.93
-$0.48
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 96.3Β’ | $187.7 | $195 | +$7.3 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $65.08 | $67.7 | +$2.62 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96.7Β’ | $23.53 | $23 | -$0.53 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $17.94 | $20.15 | +$2.21 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $3.6 | β | -$3.6 | 58% 55142-40208 (95350) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $3.51 | β | -$3.51 | 58% 11584-8476 (20060) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $3.29 | β | -$3.29 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $0.96 | $1.08 | +$0.12 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$187.7
Value
$195
PnL
+$7.3
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$65.08
Value
$67.7
PnL
+$2.62
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$23.53
Value
$23
PnL
-$0.53
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$17.94
Value
$20.15
PnL
+$2.21
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$3.6
Value
β
PnL
-$3.6
Record
58%
55142-40208 (95350)
Invested
$3.51
Value
β
PnL
-$3.51
Record
58%
11584-8476 (20060)
Invested
$3.29
Value
β
PnL
-$3.29
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$0.96
Value
$1.08
PnL
+$0.12
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $195

pspspsps5
Down β $67.7
dvasdkasodk
Down β $23
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $20.15
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
Down β $1.08