PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Down 79%

Total Value

$194.05

Combined PnL

-$90.08

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 15 top traders (73%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$194.05
Total Shares194
Combined PnL+$146.29
Down11 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares472
Combined PnL-$236.37
Up — 27%Down — 73%
OhioRiskManagement
Up

Invested

$36.13

Value

$162.6

PnL

+$126.47

Record

50%

68021-68968 (136989)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Down

Invested

$119.41

Value

—

PnL

-$119.41

Record

56%

34391-26783 (61174)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.28

Value

—

PnL

-$30.28

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

BO
BonereaperCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.33

Value

—

PnL

-$23.33

Record

74%

61575-21102 (82677)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$19

Value

—

PnL

-$19

Record

58%

55142-40208 (95350)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.39

Value

—

PnL

-$6.39

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$10.56

Value

$19

PnL

+$8.44

Record

58%

11584-8476 (20060)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.32

Value

—

PnL

-$9.32

Record

64%

37926-21432 (59358)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.89

Value

—

PnL

-$8.89

Record

59%

44281-30660 (74941)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.45

Value

—

PnL

-$4.45

Record

58%

16454-12070 (28524)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.17

Value

—

PnL

-$7.17

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

HS
HsilverbasherCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.8

Value

—

PnL

-$7.8

Record

14%

16230-96920 (113150)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$1.07

Value

$12.45

PnL

+$11.38

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.71

Value

—

PnL

-$0.35

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

16869-15701 (32570)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb220f0fe...8bc424
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1792999800

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $162.6

+$126.47
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$119.41
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$30.28
BO

Bonereaper

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.33
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$19
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.39
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $19

+$8.44

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.32
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.89

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.45
Trade on Polymarket