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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$90.08

Combined PnL

$13.09

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$90.08
Total Shares90
Combined PnL+$26.11
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares39
Combined PnL-$13.02
Up — 44%Down — 56%
BO
Bonereaper<$100
Up

Invested

$22.8

Value

$36

PnL

+$13.2

Record

74%

61575-21102 (82677)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$20.2

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.8

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$16

Value

$20

PnL

+$4

Record

52%

16869-15701 (32570)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$4.97

Value

$9.08

PnL

+$4.11

Record

64%

37926-21432 (59358)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.44

Value

—

PnL

-$4.44

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.34

Value

—

PnL

-$2.34

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

58%

55142-40208 (95350)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.14

Value

—

PnL

-$0.14

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x13ba4052...8dfd25
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1792999200

Traders in this Market

BO

Bonereaper

Up — $36

+$13.2
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $25

+$4.8
DE

devonpoll

Up — $20

+$4
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.2

ohioism

Up — $9.08

+$4.11
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.44
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.34
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.9

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.14
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