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pspspsps5CTR<$100UpDownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$35.99
Combined PnL
-$12.91
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares75
Combined PnL-$16.45
Down2 traders
Total Value$35.99
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$3.54
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.3¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96.5¢ | $18.96 | $16 | -$2.96 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 67.5¢ | $13.49 | $19.99 | +$6.5 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 58% 11584-8476 (20060) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$18.96
Value
$16
PnL
-$2.96
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
DE
devonpollCTR<$100Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$13.49
Value
$19.99
PnL
+$6.5
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
58%
11584-8476 (20060)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdf2a77a2...3b288b
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1792998300