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pspspsps5CTR<$100DownUpUpDownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$78
Combined PnL
-$23.1
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares95
Combined PnL-$14.75
Up3 traders
Total Value$78
Total Shares78
Combined PnL-$8.35
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.57 | — | -$0.57 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $42.64 | $41 | -$1.64 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $25.89 | $19 | -$6.89 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.6¢ | $8.18 | — | -$8.18 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $17.82 | $18 | +$0.18 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 64% 19321-10933 (30254) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.57
Value
—
PnL
-$0.57
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$42.64
Value
$41
PnL
-$1.64
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$25.89
Value
$19
PnL
-$6.89
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$8.18
Value
—
PnL
-$8.18
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$17.82
Value
$18
PnL
+$0.18
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
64%
19321-10933 (30254)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x48778d4b...54d7b3
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1792997700