Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$157.33
-$16.59
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $102.53 | $77.91 | -$24.62 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66.1¢ | $72.66 | — | -$72.66 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 38.3¢ | $29.87 | $77.91 | +$48.04 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $30.85 | — | -$30.85 | 56% 15511-12385 (27896) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 39.3¢ | $8.42 | $21.43 | +$13.01 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $17.8 | $20 | +$2.2 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $14.15 | $10 | -$4.15 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.3¢ | $4.36 | — | -$4.36 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $5.39 | $11 | +$5.61 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $3.01 | $7 | +$3.99 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $3.45 | $5 | +$1.55 | 64% 37926-21432 (59358) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
Invested
$102.53
Value
$77.91
PnL
-$24.62
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$30.85
Value
—
PnL
-$30.85
Record
56%
15511-12385 (27896)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.42
Value
$21.43
PnL
+$13.01
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Invested
$17.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.2
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$14.15
Value
$10
PnL
-$4.15
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
Invested
$4.36
Value
—
PnL
-$4.36
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$5.39
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.61
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$3.01
Value
$7
PnL
+$3.99
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.55
Record
64%
37926-21432 (59358)
Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $21.43
aaa221
Up — $20
asidjasiodja
Up — $10
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
Up — $11
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0