Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
$602.97
-$55.84
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $240.73 | $243.16 | +$2.43 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $210.52 | $232.65 | +$22.14 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 81¢ | $188.33 | $232.65 | +$44.32 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.1¢ | $22.18 | — | -$22.18 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.5¢ | $31.74 | — | -$31.74 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $38.41 | $40 | +$1.59 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 81.2¢ | $26.32 | $27.83 | +$1.51 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $15.02 | $18.26 | +$3.24 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $11.25 | $15 | +$3.75 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $12.15 | — | -$12.15 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $26.87 | — | -$26.87 | 50% 68021-68968 (136989) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $4.6 | $5 | +$0.4 | 84% 31418-5931 (37349) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $6.3 | $10 | +$3.7 | 64% 37926-21432 (59358) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $5.76 | $6.06 | +$0.3 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.8¢ | $6.09 | — | -$6.09 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.38 | — | -$0.38 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.9¢ | $46.34 | — | +$4.21 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$240.73
Value
$243.16
PnL
+$2.43
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$210.52
Value
$232.65
PnL
+$22.14
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Both legs:
Invested
$31.74
Value
—
PnL
-$31.74
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$38.41
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.59
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$26.32
Value
$27.83
PnL
+$1.51
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$15.02
Value
$18.26
PnL
+$3.24
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$11.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.75
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$12.15
Value
—
PnL
-$12.15
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$26.87
Value
—
PnL
-$26.87
Record
50%
68021-68968 (136989)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.4
Record
84%
31418-5931 (37349)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.7
Record
64%
37926-21432 (59358)
Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.3
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.09
Value
—
PnL
-$6.09
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.38
Value
—
PnL
-$0.38
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$46.34
Value
—
PnL
+$4.21
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $243.16
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $40
thesidehustle
Up — $27.83
asidjasiodja
Up — $18.26
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $15
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $5