Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 64%
$1.2K
-$92.87
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $990.91 | $1.0K | +$12.53 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $94.25 | $88.05 | -$6.2 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $39.84 | $32.14 | -$7.7 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $31.16 | $32 | +$0.84 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $36.41 | $31.56 | -$4.85 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $85.47 | — | -$85.47 | 52% 5912-5540 (11452) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $15.23 | $15.1 | -$0.13 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $11.49 | $12.13 | +$0.64 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $5.35 | $5.18 | -$0.17 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 16% 15747-83885 (99632) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.19 | — | -$0.19 | 59% 15821-10942 (26763) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 72% 21641-8597 (30238) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16764-15588 (32352) |
Invested
$990.91
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$12.53
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$94.25
Value
$88.05
PnL
-$6.2
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$39.84
Value
$32.14
PnL
-$7.7
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$31.16
Value
$32
PnL
+$0.84
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
Invested
$36.41
Value
$31.56
PnL
-$4.85
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
Invested
$85.47
Value
—
PnL
-$85.47
Record
52%
5912-5540 (11452)
Invested
$15.23
Value
$15.1
PnL
-$0.13
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
Invested
$11.49
Value
$12.13
PnL
+$0.64
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$5.35
Value
$5.18
PnL
-$0.17
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
16%
15747-83885 (99632)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
—
PnL
-$0.19
Record
59%
15821-10942 (26763)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
72%
21641-8597 (30238)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16764-15588 (32352)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $88.05
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $32.14
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $32
aaa221
Down — $31.56
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $15.1
thesidehustle
Down — $12.13
asdaefef
Down — $5.18
Hsilverbasher
Down — $5