Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Down 67%
$637.08
$20.78
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $257.31 | $260 | +$2.69 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 80.8Β’ | $113.21 | $140.17 | +$26.96 | 52% 16679-15673 (32352) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 81.8Β’ | $111.75 | $103.39 | -$8.36 | 52% 5912-5540 (11452) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 83.4Β’ | $34.7 | $41.62 | +$6.92 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $16.8 | $20 | +$3.2 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 74.4Β’ | $15.21 | $18.28 | +$3.07 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 83.5Β’ | $13.4 | $16.05 | +$2.65 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.9Β’ | $12.78 | $15.23 | +$2.45 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85.7Β’ | $9.7 | $11.32 | +$1.62 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $5.62 | $11.02 | +$5.4 | 72% 21641-8597 (30238) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7Β’ | $13.38 | β | -$13.38 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $2.83 | β | -$2.83 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.2Β’ | $2.95 | β | -$2.95 | 59% 15821-10942 (26763) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5Β’ | $4.01 | β | -$4.01 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $4.8 | β | -$4.8 | 52% 16764-15588 (32352) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 78.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $14.28 | β | +$2.16 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
Invested
$257.31
Value
$260
PnL
+$2.69
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Invested
$113.21
Value
$140.17
PnL
+$26.96
Record
52%
16679-15673 (32352)
Invested
$111.75
Value
$103.39
PnL
-$8.36
Record
52%
5912-5540 (11452)
Invested
$34.7
Value
$41.62
PnL
+$6.92
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.2
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
Invested
$15.21
Value
$18.28
PnL
+$3.07
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$13.4
Value
$16.05
PnL
+$2.65
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$12.78
Value
$15.23
PnL
+$2.45
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$11.32
PnL
+$1.62
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
Invested
$5.62
Value
$11.02
PnL
+$5.4
Record
72%
21641-8597 (30238)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$13.38
Value
β
PnL
-$13.38
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
Invested
$2.83
Value
β
PnL
-$2.83
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
β
PnL
-$2.95
Record
59%
15821-10942 (26763)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.01
Value
β
PnL
-$4.01
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$4.8
Value
β
PnL
-$4.8
Record
52%
16764-15588 (32352)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
Invested
$14.28
Value
β
PnL
+$2.16
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $260
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down β $140.17
ply-pm2
Down β $103.39
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $41.62
uninformedfloww
Down β $20
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down β $18.28
thesidehustle
Down β $16.05
asdaefef
Down β $15.23
asidjasiodja
Down β $11.32
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $11.02