Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Down 65%
$1.3K
$52.66
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 66.8Β’ | $426.01 | $482.12 | +$56.1 | 52% 5912-5540 (11452) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $326.22 | $329.52 | +$3.3 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 67.8Β’ | $95.19 | $87.01 | -$8.18 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 61.8Β’ | $61.5 | $88.08 | +$26.58 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 75.8Β’ | $68.68 | $70.18 | +$1.51 | 62% 44142-26594 (70736) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 68.6Β’ | $59.2 | $66.8 | +$7.6 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 69.3Β’ | $57.1 | $60 | +$2.9 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.7Β’ | $34.37 | $29.96 | -$4.41 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 60.8Β’ | $29.84 | $27.69 | -$2.15 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 91.5Β’ | $24.4 | $25.92 | +$1.52 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $10.25 | $20.41 | +$10.16 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $2.37 | β | -$2.37 | 72% 21641-8597 (30238) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.6Β’ | $2.02 | β | -$2.02 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 28Β’ | $11.2 | β | -$11.2 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4Β’ | $13.77 | β | -$13.77 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $7.71 | β | -$7.71 | 58% 11396-8336 (19732) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 25Β’ | $5.2 | β | -$5.2 | 52% 16764-15588 (32352) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 72% 54060-21022 (75082) |
Invested
$426.01
Value
$482.12
PnL
+$56.1
Record
52%
5912-5540 (11452)
Invested
$326.22
Value
$329.52
PnL
+$3.3
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Invested
$95.19
Value
$87.01
PnL
-$8.18
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$61.5
Value
$88.08
PnL
+$26.58
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$68.68
Value
$70.18
PnL
+$1.51
Record
62%
44142-26594 (70736)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$59.2
Value
$66.8
PnL
+$7.6
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$57.1
Value
$60
PnL
+$2.9
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$34.37
Value
$29.96
PnL
-$4.41
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$29.84
Value
$27.69
PnL
-$2.15
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$24.4
Value
$25.92
PnL
+$1.52
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$10.25
Value
$20.41
PnL
+$10.16
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
Invested
$2.37
Value
β
PnL
-$2.37
Record
72%
21641-8597 (30238)
Invested
$2.02
Value
β
PnL
-$2.02
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
Invested
$11.2
Value
β
PnL
-$11.2
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
Invested
$13.77
Value
β
PnL
-$13.77
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
Invested
$7.71
Value
β
PnL
-$7.71
Record
58%
11396-8336 (19732)
Invested
$5.2
Value
β
PnL
-$5.2
Record
52%
16764-15588 (32352)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
54060-21022 (75082)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $482.12
hoodquant
Down β $329.52
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down β $87.01

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $88.08

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $70.18

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $66.8
thesidehustle
Down β $60
asdaefef
Down β $29.96
asidjasiodja
Down β $27.69

MayorMamdani
Down β $25.92