Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 54%
$448.28
-$109
Smart Money Signal
8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $206.1 | $220.24 | +$14.15 | 52% 5912-5540 (11452) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 93.3¢ | $104.72 | $107.07 | +$2.35 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.7¢ | $51.25 | — | -$51.25 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $53.11 | $40 | -$13.11 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $43.48 | $40 | -$3.48 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $62.96 | $21.61 | -$14.7 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.3¢ | $17.83 | — | -$17.83 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $6.2 | $10.16 | +$3.96 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $8.82 | $9.19 | +$0.37 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $4.44 | — | -$4.44 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $14.89 | — | -$14.89 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $6.8 | — | -$6.8 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 44.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 72% 54060-21022 (75082) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16764-15588 (32352) |
Invested
$206.1
Value
$220.24
PnL
+$14.15
Record
52%
5912-5540 (11452)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$104.72
Value
$107.07
PnL
+$2.35
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
Invested
$51.25
Value
—
PnL
-$51.25
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$53.11
Value
$40
PnL
-$13.11
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$43.48
Value
$40
PnL
-$3.48
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$62.96
Value
$21.61
PnL
-$14.7
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
Invested
$17.83
Value
—
PnL
-$17.83
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$6.2
Value
$10.16
PnL
+$3.96
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
Invested
$8.82
Value
$9.19
PnL
+$0.37
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$4.44
Value
—
PnL
-$4.44
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
Invested
$14.89
Value
—
PnL
-$14.89
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$6.8
Value
—
PnL
-$6.8
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
54060-21022 (75082)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16764-15588 (32352)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $220.24
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $107.07
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $40
thesidehustle
Down — $40
aaa221
Down — $21.61
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $10.16
asdaefef
Down — $9.19
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0