Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 57%
$365.79
-$20.44
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $199.98 | $202 | +$2.02 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 71.6Β’ | $58.05 | $71.97 | +$13.92 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69.9Β’ | $39.94 | $35.73 | -$4.21 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $32.78 | $31 | -$1.78 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4Β’ | $17.24 | β | -$17.24 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.7Β’ | $11.68 | β | -$11.68 | 57% 33225-25562 (58787) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.9Β’ | $11.55 | $10.07 | -$1.48 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $7.36 | $10.34 | +$2.98 | 83% 29237-5890 (35127) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $3.21 | $2.65 | -$0.57 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.5Β’ | $2.03 | β | -$2.03 | 58% 16384-12007 (28391) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.21 | β | -$0.21 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 62% 34047-20694 (54741) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.14 | β | -$1.14 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.02 | β | -$0.02 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
Invested
$199.98
Value
$202
PnL
+$2.02
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
Invested
$58.05
Value
$71.97
PnL
+$13.92
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
Invested
$39.94
Value
$35.73
PnL
-$4.21
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
Invested
$32.78
Value
$31
PnL
-$1.78
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$17.24
Value
β
PnL
-$17.24
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$11.68
Value
β
PnL
-$11.68
Record
57%
33225-25562 (58787)
Invested
$11.55
Value
$10.07
PnL
-$1.48
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$7.36
Value
$10.34
PnL
+$2.98
Record
83%
29237-5890 (35127)
Invested
$3.21
Value
$2.65
PnL
-$0.57
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
β
PnL
-$2.03
Record
58%
16384-12007 (28391)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
β
PnL
-$0.21
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
34047-20694 (54741)
Invested
$1.14
Value
β
PnL
-$1.14
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$0.02
Value
β
PnL
-$0.02
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $202
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $71.97
ply-pm2
Down β $35.73
asidjasiodja
Down β $31

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $10.07

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $10.34
aaa221
Down β $2.65

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0