Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 38%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$592.29

Combined PnL

-$48.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 16 top traders (38%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$456.74

Total Shares457

Combined PnL+$128.04

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares286

Combined PnL-$176.23

Down — 38%Up — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 56.4¢	$129.04	$83.42	-$45.61	52% 5848-5486 (11334)
└ Up leg	Upavg 56.4¢	$78.91	—	-$78.91
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.1¢	$50.12	$83.42	+$33.3
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 99¢	$109.89	$111	+$1.11	71% 21334-8554 (29888)
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100	Downavg 70.5¢	$40.14	$52.13	+$11.99	62% 42888-25869 (68757)
└ Up leg	Upavg 4.3¢	$3.4	—	-$3.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 70.5¢	$36.74	$52.13	+$15.39
wowitsamazing	Downavg 39.6¢	$49.83	$125.88	+$76.05	59% 11164-7698 (18862)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 28.6¢	$48.79	$91.85	+$43.06	50% 54008-54171 (108179)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$92.07	$93	+$0.93	93% 20604-1665 (22269)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 63.4¢	$58.6	—	-$58.6	56% 15191-12099 (27290)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 70.2¢	$38.87	—	-$35.72	67% 13858-6900 (20758)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 73.3¢	$42.18	—	-$42.18	57% 33225-25562 (58787)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 79¢	$15.8	—	-$15.8	52% 16519-15327 (31846)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 45.6¢	$9.38	—	-$9.38	61% 14067-8822 (22889)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$8.52	$15	+$6.48	83% 29237-5890 (35127)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 47.4¢	$7.44	—	-$7.44	64% 20058-11389 (31447)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 98¢	$19.6	$20	+$0.4	68% 77726-36976 (114702)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.76	—	-$0.76	58% 16384-12007 (28391)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 72¢	$3.65	—	-$3.65	77% 25565-7723 (33288)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 53¢	$2.65	—	-$2.65	72% 51435-20417 (71852)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	85% 67119-12101 (79220)