Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 89%
1 arb excluded
$573.03
$0.02
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.3¢ | $384.89 | $391.57 | +$6.68 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $80.29 | $70.77 | -$9.52 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $52.15 | $70.55 | +$18.4 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 9.5¢ | $6.91 | — | -$6.91 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.1¢ | $45.24 | $70.55 | +$25.3 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93.4¢ | $19.67 | $21.05 | +$1.38 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $3.4 | $5.07 | +$1.67 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $2.02 | $2.02 | +$0 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $0.65 | $1 | +$0.35 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
Invested
$384.89
Value
$391.57
PnL
+$6.68
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$80.29
Value
$70.77
PnL
-$9.52
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$52.15
Value
$70.55
PnL
+$18.4
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
Invested
$19.67
Value
$21.05
PnL
+$1.38
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$3.4
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.67
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Invested
$2.02
Value
$2.02
PnL
+$0
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
Invested
$0.65
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.35
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
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