Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 54%
2 arb excluded
$466.13
$21.04
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
YO YouSayUpISayDown | Upavg 72.7¢ | $110.49 | $152 | +$41.51 | 62% 1716-1030 (2746) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.9¢ | $72.97 | $60.95 | -$12.02 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.9¢ | $39.57 | $60.95 | +$21.38 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.9¢ | $33.4 | — | -$33.4 | |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $50.25 | $38.1 | -$12.15 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65.6¢ | $25 | $38.1 | +$13.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 32.5¢ | $25.25 | — | -$25.25 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $23.39 | $36.89 | +$15.5 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $21.36 | — | -$21.36 | 58% 11317-8292 (19609) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $36.8 | $48.6 | +$11.8 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.7¢ | $14.57 | — | -$14.57 | 57% 33225-25562 (58787) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $11.75 | — | -$11.75 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $11.08 | $11 | -$0.08 | 72% 51435-20417 (71852) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.85 | — | -$3.85 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $8.32 | $8 | -$0.32 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5.01 | $10.01 | +$5.01 | 62% 34047-20694 (54741) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 58% 16384-12007 (28391) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.94 | 71% 21334-8554 (29888) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $0.37 | $0.57 | +$0.2 | 85% 67119-12101 (79220) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16519-15327 (31846) |
Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
Invested
$110.49
Value
$152
PnL
+$41.51
Record
62%
1716-1030 (2746)
Invested
$72.97
Value
$60.95
PnL
-$12.02
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$50.25
Value
$38.1
PnL
-$12.15
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Both legs:
Invested
$23.39
Value
$36.89
PnL
+$15.5
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
Invested
$21.36
Value
—
PnL
-$21.36
Record
58%
11317-8292 (19609)
Invested
$36.8
Value
$48.6
PnL
+$11.8
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
Invested
$14.57
Value
—
PnL
-$14.57
Record
57%
33225-25562 (58787)
Invested
$11.75
Value
—
PnL
-$11.75
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
Invested
$11.08
Value
$11
PnL
-$0.08
Record
72%
51435-20417 (71852)
Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
-$3.85
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$8.32
Value
$8
PnL
-$0.32
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$5.01
Record
62%
34047-20694 (54741)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
58%
16384-12007 (28391)
Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.94
Record
71%
21334-8554 (29888)
Invested
$0.37
Value
$0.57
PnL
+$0.2
Record
85%
67119-12101 (79220)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16519-15327 (31846)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $100
YouSayUpISayDown
Up — $152
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $36.89
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $48.6
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
Up — $11