Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 67%
$618.44
$24.87
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $202.95 | $205 | +$2.05 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 91.1Β’ | $151.7 | $156.18 | +$4.48 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 81.6Β’ | $138.34 | $151 | +$12.66 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 77.5Β’ | $32.7 | $35.92 | +$3.22 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 85.9Β’ | $54.4 | $30 | +$3.6 | 83% 29237-5890 (35127) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87.6Β’ | $11.15 | $12.17 | +$1.02 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 48Β’ | $11.04 | $12 | +$0.96 | 72% 51435-20417 (71852) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $3.65 | $4.93 | +$1.28 | 58% 11317-8292 (19609) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $5.64 | $6 | +$0.36 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $4.35 | $5.24 | +$0.89 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.6 | β | -$0.6 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.8Β’ | $3.91 | β | -$3.91 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 71% 21334-8554 (29888) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 85% 67119-12101 (79220) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 58% 16384-12007 (28391) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16519-15327 (31846) |
Invested
$202.95
Value
$205
PnL
+$2.05
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$151.7
Value
$156.18
PnL
+$4.48
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$138.34
Value
$151
PnL
+$12.66
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
Invested
$32.7
Value
$35.92
PnL
+$3.22
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$54.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.6
Record
83%
29237-5890 (35127)
Invested
$11.15
Value
$12.17
PnL
+$1.02
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
Invested
$11.04
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.96
Record
72%
51435-20417 (71852)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$4.93
PnL
+$1.28
Record
58%
11317-8292 (19609)
Invested
$5.64
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.36
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$5.24
PnL
+$0.89
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Invested
$0.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.6
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
Invested
$3.91
Value
β
PnL
-$3.91
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
71%
21334-8554 (29888)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
85%
67119-12101 (79220)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
58%
16384-12007 (28391)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16519-15327 (31846)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $205

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $156.18
ply-pm2
Down β $151
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $35.92

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $30
asidjasiodja
Down β $12.17
Bonereaper
Down β $12
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $4.93
dvasdkasodk
Down β $6
asdaefef
Down β $5.24