Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 53%
1 arb excluded
$698.79
-$7.58
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 58.6¢ | $225.22 | $267.67 | +$42.44 | 52% 5848-5486 (11334) |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $185.33 | $176.84 | -$8.49 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 84.9¢ | $150.18 | $176.84 | +$26.66 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57.7¢ | $35.15 | — | -$35.15 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 57.4¢ | $49.18 | $59.31 | +$10.13 | 62% 42888-25869 (68757) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 90.5¢ | $51.53 | $56.96 | +$5.42 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $25.15 | — | -$25.15 | 60% 16070-10630 (26700) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 85.2¢ | $34.9 | $27.78 | -$7.12 | 88% 52847-6938 (59785) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $23.9 | $20.83 | +$6.28 | 83% 29237-5890 (35127) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $59.85 | — | -$29.45 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $32.6 | $40 | +$7.4 | 56% 15191-12099 (27290) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.8¢ | $14.13 | $15.39 | +$1.26 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 95.6¢ | $17.63 | $14 | -$3.63 | 58% 16384-12007 (28391) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $11.58 | $11 | -$0.58 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 68% 77726-36976 (114702) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 72% 51435-20417 (71852) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $4.51 | $9.02 | +$4.51 | 62% 34047-20694 (54741) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $3.26 | — | -$3.26 | 71% 21334-8554 (29888) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 20% 14378-58193 (72571) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.5¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 77% 28993-8555 (37548) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 63.2¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 58% 11317-8292 (19609) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16519-15327 (31846) |
Invested
$225.22
Value
$267.67
PnL
+$42.44
Record
52%
5848-5486 (11334)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$185.33
Value
$176.84
PnL
-$8.49
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$49.18
Value
$59.31
PnL
+$10.13
Record
62%
42888-25869 (68757)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$51.53
Value
$56.96
PnL
+$5.42
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$25.15
Value
—
PnL
-$25.15
Record
60%
16070-10630 (26700)
Invested
$34.9
Value
$27.78
PnL
-$7.12
Record
88%
52847-6938 (59785)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$23.9
Value
$20.83
PnL
+$6.28
Record
83%
29237-5890 (35127)
Invested
$59.85
Value
—
PnL
-$29.45
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
Invested
$32.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.4
Record
56%
15191-12099 (27290)
Invested
$14.13
Value
$15.39
PnL
+$1.26
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.63
Value
$14
PnL
-$3.63
Record
58%
16384-12007 (28391)
Invested
$11.58
Value
$11
PnL
-$0.58
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
68%
77726-36976 (114702)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
72%
51435-20417 (71852)
Invested
$4.51
Value
$9.02
PnL
+$4.51
Record
62%
34047-20694 (54741)
Invested
$3.26
Value
—
PnL
-$3.26
Record
71%
21334-8554 (29888)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
20%
14378-58193 (72571)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
77%
28993-8555 (37548)
Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
58%
11317-8292 (19609)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16519-15327 (31846)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up — $267.67
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $59.31
pspspsps5
Up — $56.96
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $27.78
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $20.83
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $40
asdaefef
Up — $15.39