Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$63.72

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 19 top traders (47%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$594.88

Total Shares595

Combined PnL+$273.89

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares389

Combined PnL-$210.17

Down — 47%Up — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 63.7¢	$141.75	$182.87	+$41.13	52% 5827-5465 (11292)
└ Up leg	Upavg 12.5¢	$25.23	—	-$25.23
└ Down leg	Downavg 63.7¢	$116.51	$182.87	+$66.36
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 31.2¢	$115.03	$368.96	+$253.93	71% 20772-8504 (29276)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 54¢	$118.2	$186.22	+$68.02	57% 33114-25464 (58578)
└ Up leg	Upavg 17.9¢	$17.6	—	-$17.6
└ Down leg	Downavg 54¢	$100.6	$186.22	+$85.62
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 61.9¢	$124.71	$120.18	-$4.52	88% 48649-6911 (55560)
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.9¢	$73.51	—	-$73.51
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.6¢	$51.2	$120.18	+$68.98
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Upavg 43.2¢	$49.76	—	-$49.76	60% 10605-7189 (17794)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 75.6¢	$55.09	—	-$55.09	50% 52086-52143 (104229)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$50.53	—	-$42.84	67% 13816-6882 (20698)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 83.7¢	$74.23	$55	-$18.07	68% 75669-35734 (111403)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$15.49	—	-$15.49	58% 11123-8150 (19273)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$16.86	—	-$16.86	66% 14228-7218 (21446)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 34.9¢	$16.92	—	-$12.12	83% 28668-5871 (34539)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 70¢	$11.16	—	-$11.16	61% 14030-8793 (22823)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$39.2	$40	+$0.8	93% 20539-1653 (22192)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 70.2¢	$25.18	$35.82	+$10.65	58% 16353-11988 (28341)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 21¢	$3.3	—	-$3.3	59% 15305-10802 (26107)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$16.74	$17	+$0.26	63% 19526-11360 (30886)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 78¢	$19.64	$25.18	+$5.54	59% 15498-10585 (26083)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 78¢	$19.56	$25.08	+$5.52	77% 27124-8199 (35323)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Downavg 40¢	$5.2	$13	+$7.8	71% 49577-20345 (69922)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$7.37	$14.84	+$7.47	84% 61854-12050 (73904)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 70¢	$3.55	—	-$3.55	56% 15141-12065 (27206)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	52% 16382-15161 (31543)