Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 55%
$439.81
-$16.68
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $282.53 | $285.38 | +$2.85 | 93% 20452-1648 (22100) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 76¢ | $99.89 | $111.3 | +$11.4 | 52% 5796-5413 (11209) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $22.77 | $23 | +$0.23 | 62% 13986-8741 (22727) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.5¢ | $20.9 | — | -$20.9 | 60% 15290-10046 (25336) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 76% 24703-7664 (32367) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $5.83 | — | -$5.83 | 71% 48783-19833 (68616) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 63% 19451-11308 (30759) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $4 | $5.13 | +$1.13 | 56% 15016-11963 (26979) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $5.2 | — | -$5.2 | 54% 9542-8116 (17658) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 59% 19671-13549 (33220) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.1¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 58% 16308-11929 (28237) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 59% 15276-10726 (26002) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $14.15 | $0 | +$2.93 | 67% 13695-6821 (20516) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16071-14859 (30930) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 83% 28626-5825 (34451) |
Invested
$282.53
Value
$285.38
PnL
+$2.85
Record
93%
20452-1648 (22100)
Invested
$99.89
Value
$111.3
PnL
+$11.4
Record
52%
5796-5413 (11209)
Invested
$22.77
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.23
Record
62%
13986-8741 (22727)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$20.9
Value
—
PnL
-$20.9
Record
60%
15290-10046 (25336)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
76%
24703-7664 (32367)
Invested
$5.83
Value
—
PnL
-$5.83
Record
71%
48783-19833 (68616)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
63%
19451-11308 (30759)
Invested
$4
Value
$5.13
PnL
+$1.13
Record
56%
15016-11963 (26979)
Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.2
Record
54%
9542-8116 (17658)
Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
59%
19671-13549 (33220)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
58%
16308-11929 (28237)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
59%
15276-10726 (26002)
Invested
$14.15
Value
$0
PnL
+$2.93
Record
67%
13695-6821 (20516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16071-14859 (30930)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
28626-5825 (34451)
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