PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 67%

Total Value

$121.5

Combined PnL

-$23.36

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$121.5
Total Shares121
Combined PnL+$4.23
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares229
Combined PnL-$27.59
Up — 38%Down — 62%
OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$86.62

Value

$82

PnL

-$4.62

Record

60%

15195-10036 (25231)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.33

Value

—

PnL

-$13.33

Record

52%

5783-5405 (11188)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$12.69

Value

$13.05

PnL

+$0.36

Record

76%

24372-7654 (32026)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$12.35

Value

$15.44

PnL

+$3.09

Record

56%

15011-11955 (26966)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.68

Value

—

PnL

-$2.68

Record

58%

16293-11917 (28210)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.74

Value

—

PnL

-$4.74

Record

67%

13677-6805 (20482)

BO
Bonereaper<$100
Up

Invested

$5.61

Value

$11

PnL

+$5.39

Record

71%

47675-19826 (67501)

0X
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.43

Value

—

PnL

-$2.43

Record

71%

42658-17807 (60465)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

69%

70161-32224 (102385)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.58

Value

—

PnL

-$0.58

Record

83%

28376-5819 (34195)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.65

Value

—

PnL

-$1.65

Record

62%

13966-8732 (22698)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.17

Value

—

PnL

-$0.17

Record

59%

15258-10718 (25976)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

16067-14857 (30924)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe5502766...343da8
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1792967100

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $82

-$4.62
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$13.33
AS

asdaefef

Up — $13.05

+$0.36
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $15.44

+$3.09

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.68
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.74
BO

Bonereaper

Up — $11

+$5.39
0X

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.43
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$2

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.58
Trade on Polymarket