Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 60%
$262.35
$41.89
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 68.9Β’ | $77.7 | $112.1 | +$34.4 | 52% 5759-5374 (11133) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 98.1Β’ | $88.95 | $90.67 | +$1.72 | 60% 15171-10006 (25177) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48Β’ | $14.06 | $29.29 | +$15.23 | 71% 20646-8447 (29093) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.2Β’ | $12.18 | $14.3 | +$2.12 | 76% 24325-7635 (31960) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78.5Β’ | $8.63 | $11 | +$2.37 | 62% 13930-8709 (22639) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 37Β’ | $5.18 | β | -$5.18 | 23% 13829-47170 (60999) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 71% 47656-19807 (67463) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $3.4 | β | -$3.4 | 56% 14989-11933 (26922) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $0.8 | β | -$0.8 | 52% 16054-14845 (30899) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $1.74 | β | -$1.74 | 58% 16263-11884 (28147) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $5.8 | β | -$5.19 | 67% 13622-6770 (20392) |
Invested
$77.7
Value
$112.1
PnL
+$34.4
Record
52%
5759-5374 (11133)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$88.95
Value
$90.67
PnL
+$1.72
Record
60%
15171-10006 (25177)
Invested
$14.06
Value
$29.29
PnL
+$15.23
Record
71%
20646-8447 (29093)
Invested
$12.18
Value
$14.3
PnL
+$2.12
Record
76%
24325-7635 (31960)
Invested
$8.63
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.37
Record
62%
13930-8709 (22639)
Invested
$5.18
Value
β
PnL
-$5.18
Record
23%
13829-47170 (60999)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
71%
47656-19807 (67463)
Invested
$3.4
Value
β
PnL
-$3.4
Record
56%
14989-11933 (26922)
Invested
$0.8
Value
β
PnL
-$0.8
Record
52%
16054-14845 (30899)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.74
Value
β
PnL
-$1.74
Record
58%
16263-11884 (28147)
Invested
$5.8
Value
β
PnL
-$5.19
Record
67%
13622-6770 (20392)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $112.1

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $90.67
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $29.29
asdaefef
Down β $14.3
asidjasiodja
Down β $11
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $5
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0