Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 58%
$435.21
$11.82
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $210.27 | $212.39 | +$2.12 | 93% 20381-1637 (22018) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 75.8Β’ | $94.89 | $111.93 | +$17.04 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97.3Β’ | $36.54 | $37.57 | +$1.03 | 62% 40698-24908 (65606) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 81.2Β’ | $35.31 | $33 | -$2.31 | 60% 15115-9973 (25088) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84.7Β’ | $23.25 | $27.44 | +$4.19 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $8.45 | $10.56 | +$2.11 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $2.94 | β | -$2.94 | 71% 20609-8429 (29038) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $1.9 | β | -$1.9 | 69% 69291-31631 (100922) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3Β’ | $3.6 | β | -$3.6 | 56% 14956-11913 (26869) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $1.33 | $2.33 | +$1 | 52% 14398-13171 (27569) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.7Β’ | $4.86 | β | -$4.86 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
Invested
$210.27
Value
$212.39
PnL
+$2.12
Record
93%
20381-1637 (22018)
Invested
$94.89
Value
$111.93
PnL
+$17.04
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$36.54
Value
$37.57
PnL
+$1.03
Record
62%
40698-24908 (65606)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$35.31
Value
$33
PnL
-$2.31
Record
60%
15115-9973 (25088)
Invested
$23.25
Value
$27.44
PnL
+$4.19
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$10.56
PnL
+$2.11
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
Invested
$2.94
Value
β
PnL
-$2.94
Record
71%
20609-8429 (29038)
Invested
$1.9
Value
β
PnL
-$1.9
Record
69%
69291-31631 (100922)
Invested
$3.6
Value
β
PnL
-$3.6
Record
56%
14956-11913 (26869)
Invested
$1.33
Value
$2.33
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
14398-13171 (27569)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.86
Value
β
PnL
-$4.86
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $212.39
ply-pm2
Down β $111.93

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $37.57

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $33
asidjasiodja
Down β $27.44
asdaefef
Down β $10.56
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down β $2.33