Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 67%
$1.2K
-$64.39
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $432.63 | $437 | +$4.37 | 93% 20381-1637 (22018) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 99¢ | $340.16 | $341.68 | +$1.52 | 59% 15217-10664 (25881) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $148.27 | $138.18 | -$10.1 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 95.5¢ | $137.29 | $143.7 | +$6.4 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $47.75 | — | -$47.75 | 56% 14956-11913 (26869) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93.1¢ | $37.73 | $30.04 | -$7.69 | 60% 15115-9973 (25088) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $20.8 | $26.28 | +$5.48 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $13.36 | $14.19 | +$0.83 | 63% 19117-11233 (30350) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $9.83 | $11.32 | +$1.49 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $10.6 | $10 | -$0.6 | 83% 28210-5788 (33998) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $4.9 | $8.19 | +$3.29 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $6.58 | — | -$6.58 | 23% 13817-47159 (60976) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8¢ | $11.16 | — | -$11.16 | 57% 32454-24904 (57358) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $4.2 | — | -$3.45 | 69% 69291-31631 (100922) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.2¢ | $1.51 | — | -$1.51 | 62% 40698-24908 (65606) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 71% 20609-8429 (29038) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $13.64 | $0.01 | +$1.36 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16033-14835 (30868) |
Invested
$432.63
Value
$437
PnL
+$4.37
Record
93%
20381-1637 (22018)
pspspsps5Invested
$340.16
Value
$341.68
PnL
+$1.52
Record
59%
15217-10664 (25881)
Invested
$148.27
Value
$138.18
PnL
-$10.1
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$137.29
Value
$143.7
PnL
+$6.4
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
Invested
$47.75
Value
—
PnL
-$47.75
Record
56%
14956-11913 (26869)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$37.73
Value
$30.04
PnL
-$7.69
Record
60%
15115-9973 (25088)
Invested
$20.8
Value
$26.28
PnL
+$5.48
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
Invested
$13.36
Value
$14.19
PnL
+$0.83
Record
63%
19117-11233 (30350)
Invested
$9.83
Value
$11.32
PnL
+$1.49
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$10.6
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.6
Record
83%
28210-5788 (33998)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$8.19
PnL
+$3.29
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
Invested
$6.58
Value
—
PnL
-$6.58
Record
23%
13817-47159 (60976)
Invested
$11.16
Value
—
PnL
-$11.16
Record
57%
32454-24904 (57358)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
69%
69291-31631 (100922)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.51
Value
—
PnL
-$1.51
Record
62%
40698-24908 (65606)
Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
71%
20609-8429 (29038)
Invested
$13.64
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.36
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16033-14835 (30868)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $437
pspspsps5
Down — $341.68
ply-pm2
Down — $138.18
MayorMamdani
Down — $143.7
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $30.04
asidjasiodja
Down — $26.28
dvasdkasodk
Down — $14.19
asdaefef
Down — $11.32
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $10