Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$634.95
$1.55
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $326.8 | $330.65 | +$3.85 | 93% 20381-1637 (22018) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $64.1 | $80 | +$15.9 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.5¢ | $47.6 | $80 | +$32.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 3.1¢ | $16.5 | — | -$16.5 | |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $87.17 | $89.3 | +$2.13 | 59% 15217-10664 (25881) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 97.2¢ | $84.14 | $80.96 | -$3.18 | 60% 15115-9973 (25088) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 90.7¢ | $29.34 | $30.1 | +$0.76 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $5.05 | $7.04 | +$1.99 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $6.3 | $7.24 | +$0.94 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $10.24 | $5 | -$0.49 | 83% 28210-5788 (33998) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $4.28 | $4.66 | +$0.37 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.3¢ | $2.97 | — | -$2.97 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 56% 14956-11913 (26869) |
Invested
$326.8
Value
$330.65
PnL
+$3.85
Record
93%
20381-1637 (22018)
Invested
$64.1
Value
$80
PnL
+$15.9
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$87.17
Value
$89.3
PnL
+$2.13
Record
59%
15217-10664 (25881)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$84.14
Value
$80.96
PnL
-$3.18
Record
60%
15115-9973 (25088)
Invested
$29.34
Value
$30.1
PnL
+$0.76
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$7.04
PnL
+$1.99
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
Invested
$6.3
Value
$7.24
PnL
+$0.94
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$10.24
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.49
Record
83%
28210-5788 (33998)
Invested
$4.28
Value
$4.66
PnL
+$0.37
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.97
Value
—
PnL
-$2.97
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
56%
14956-11913 (26869)
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