Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 54%
$137.9
-$70.53
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.2Β’ | $28.2 | β | -$28.2 | 60% 15115-9973 (25088) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.5Β’ | $5.56 | β | -$5.56 | 59% 15217-10664 (25881) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 85.6Β’ | $57.33 | $44.63 | -$12.7 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.8Β’ | $8.54 | β | -$8.54 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $27.76 | $29.85 | +$2.09 | 76% 26355-8123 (34478) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.6Β’ | $18.1 | $16.5 | -$1.6 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $19 | $20.21 | +$1.21 | 52% 16033-14835 (30868) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.5Β’ | $9.32 | β | -$9.32 | 70% 28260-12370 (40630) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $13.09 | $9.09 | -$4 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93.3Β’ | $14 | $15 | +$1 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $2.99 | β | -$2.99 | 83% 28210-5788 (33998) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $2.6 | β | -$2.6 | 70% 47133-19790 (66923) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $1.94 | $2.62 | +$0.68 | 69% 69291-31631 (100922) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$28.2
Value
β
PnL
-$28.2
Record
60%
15115-9973 (25088)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.56
Value
β
PnL
-$5.56
Record
59%
15217-10664 (25881)
Invested
$57.33
Value
$44.63
PnL
-$12.7
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.54
Value
β
PnL
-$8.54
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
ohioism<$100Invested
$27.76
Value
$29.85
PnL
+$2.09
Record
76%
26355-8123 (34478)
Invested
$18.1
Value
$16.5
PnL
-$1.6
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
Invested
$19
Value
$20.21
PnL
+$1.21
Record
52%
16033-14835 (30868)
Invested
$9.32
Value
β
PnL
-$9.32
Record
70%
28260-12370 (40630)
Invested
$13.09
Value
$9.09
PnL
-$4
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
Invested
$14
Value
$15
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$2.99
Value
β
PnL
-$2.99
Record
83%
28210-5788 (33998)
Invested
$2.6
Value
β
PnL
-$2.6
Record
70%
47133-19790 (66923)
Invested
$1.94
Value
$2.62
PnL
+$0.68
Record
69%
69291-31631 (100922)
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