Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 43%
$438.92
-$58.11
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 80¢ | $312.25 | $324.88 | +$12.63 | 52% 5710-5327 (11037) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $47.08 | $37.46 | -$9.62 | 58% 16208-11821 (28029) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.7¢ | $42.29 | — | -$42.29 | 57% 32436-24893 (57329) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $26.03 | $41.99 | +$15.95 | 70% 47102-19779 (66881) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.1¢ | $16.83 | — | -$16.83 | 60% 15104-9944 (25048) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $11.4 | $15 | +$3.6 | 83% 28182-5775 (33957) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $12.48 | $14.59 | +$2.11 | 76% 24072-7599 (31671) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.2¢ | $14.25 | — | -$14.25 | 56% 14936-11897 (26833) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 69% 68803-31273 (100076) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $3.99 | — | -$3.99 | 71% 20598-8407 (29005) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 76% 26336-8119 (34455) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.24 | — | -$1.24 | 62% 40677-24900 (65577) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 61% 13851-8673 (22524) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 63% 19088-11211 (30299) |
Invested
$312.25
Value
$324.88
PnL
+$12.63
Record
52%
5710-5327 (11037)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$47.08
Value
$37.46
PnL
-$9.62
Record
58%
16208-11821 (28029)
Invested
$42.29
Value
—
PnL
-$42.29
Record
57%
32436-24893 (57329)
Invested
$26.03
Value
$41.99
PnL
+$15.95
Record
70%
47102-19779 (66881)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$16.83
Value
—
PnL
-$16.83
Record
60%
15104-9944 (25048)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$11.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.6
Record
83%
28182-5775 (33957)
Invested
$12.48
Value
$14.59
PnL
+$2.11
Record
76%
24072-7599 (31671)
Invested
$14.25
Value
—
PnL
-$14.25
Record
56%
14936-11897 (26833)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
69%
68803-31273 (100076)
Invested
$3.99
Value
—
PnL
-$3.99
Record
71%
20598-8407 (29005)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
76%
26336-8119 (34455)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.24
Value
—
PnL
-$1.24
Record
62%
40677-24900 (65577)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
61%
13851-8673 (22524)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
63%
19088-11211 (30299)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $324.88
MayorMamdani
Down — $37.46
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
Down — $41.99
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $15
asdaefef
Down — $14.59
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0