Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 63%
$83.25
-$21.69
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.6Β’ | $61.79 | β | -$61.79 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 46.3Β’ | $16.95 | $36.61 | +$19.66 | 56% 14956-11913 (26869) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 43.7Β’ | $15.7 | $30.11 | +$44.53 | 59% 19634-13508 (33142) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $7.68 | $8 | +$0.32 | 63% 19117-11233 (30350) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $2.72 | $3.53 | +$0.81 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $2.56 | β | -$2.56 | 70% 28260-12370 (40630) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $5.05 | β | -$5.05 | 66% 13643-7182 (20825) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 75.5Β’ | $21.44 | β | -$17.7 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 51.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 70% 47133-19790 (66923) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 71% 20609-8429 (29038) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 36Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 83% 28210-5788 (33998) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 21.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 60% 15115-9973 (25088) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 15Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 15217-10664 (25881) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16033-14835 (30868) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 69% 69291-31631 (100922) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 79% 28217-7375 (35592) |
Invested
$61.79
Value
β
PnL
-$61.79
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
Invested
$16.95
Value
$36.61
PnL
+$19.66
Record
56%
14956-11913 (26869)
Invested
$15.7
Value
$30.11
PnL
+$44.53
Record
59%
19634-13508 (33142)
Invested
$7.68
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.32
Record
63%
19117-11233 (30350)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
Invested
$2.72
Value
$3.53
PnL
+$0.81
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
Invested
$2.56
Value
β
PnL
-$2.56
Record
70%
28260-12370 (40630)
Invested
$5.05
Value
β
PnL
-$5.05
Record
66%
13643-7182 (20825)
Invested
$21.44
Value
β
PnL
-$17.7
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
70%
47133-19790 (66923)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
71%
20609-8429 (29038)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
28210-5788 (33998)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
15115-9973 (25088)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
15217-10664 (25881)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16033-14835 (30868)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
69291-31631 (100922)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
79%
28217-7375 (35592)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $36.61
rabadabadoo
Down β $30.11
dvasdkasodk
Down β $8
asdaefef
Down β $5
asidjasiodja
Down β $3.53
PBot-6
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $0