Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Down 71%
$403.88
-$3.66
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $103.31 | $104.35 | +$1.04 | 93% 20315-1632 (21947) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 86.6Β’ | $108.67 | $99.63 | -$9.04 | 52% 5676-5298 (10974) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $59.64 | $51.66 | -$7.98 | 60% 15067-9911 (24978) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $27.21 | $53.79 | +$26.57 | 70% 28196-12341 (40537) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.4Β’ | $24.02 | β | -$24.02 | 71% 20566-8388 (28954) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 81.3Β’ | $23.76 | $25.09 | +$1.33 | 61% 13802-8643 (22445) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $10.92 | $13 | +$2.08 | 58% 16165-11779 (27944) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $9.9 | $11 | +$1.1 | 58% 11031-8085 (19116) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 54.3Β’ | $10.2 | $18.8 | +$8.6 | 56% 14905-11884 (26789) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 57Β’ | $11.8 | β | -$11.8 | 52% 16011-14815 (30826) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $4.47 | $8.94 | +$4.47 | 52% 14375-13129 (27504) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 55Β’ | $4.2 | $7.64 | +$3.44 | 76% 24018-7562 (31580) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 54% 9487-8073 (17560) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 65% 13584-7170 (20754) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $1.49 | β | -$1.49 | 69% 68593-31178 (99771) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.4Β’ | $1.08 | β | -$1.08 | 63% 19037-11174 (30211) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $0.93 | β | -$0.93 | 59% 15187-10613 (25800) |
Invested
$103.31
Value
$104.35
PnL
+$1.04
Record
93%
20315-1632 (21947)
Invested
$108.67
Value
$99.63
PnL
-$9.04
Record
52%
5676-5298 (10974)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$59.64
Value
$51.66
PnL
-$7.98
Record
60%
15067-9911 (24978)
Invested
$27.21
Value
$53.79
PnL
+$26.57
Record
70%
28196-12341 (40537)
Invested
$24.02
Value
β
PnL
-$24.02
Record
71%
20566-8388 (28954)
Invested
$23.76
Value
$25.09
PnL
+$1.33
Record
61%
13802-8643 (22445)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.92
Value
$13
PnL
+$2.08
Record
58%
16165-11779 (27944)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$11
PnL
+$1.1
Record
58%
11031-8085 (19116)
Invested
$10.2
Value
$18.8
PnL
+$8.6
Record
56%
14905-11884 (26789)
Invested
$11.8
Value
β
PnL
-$11.8
Record
52%
16011-14815 (30826)
Invested
$4.47
Value
$8.94
PnL
+$4.47
Record
52%
14375-13129 (27504)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$7.64
PnL
+$3.44
Record
76%
24018-7562 (31580)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
54%
9487-8073 (17560)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
65%
13584-7170 (20754)
Invested
$1.49
Value
β
PnL
-$1.49
Record
69%
68593-31178 (99771)
Invested
$1.08
Value
β
PnL
-$1.08
Record
63%
19037-11174 (30211)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.93
Value
β
PnL
-$0.93
Record
59%
15187-10613 (25800)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $104.35
ply-pm2
Down β $99.63

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $51.66
PBot-6
Down β $53.79
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $25.09

MayorMamdani
Down β $13
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $11
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $18.8
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0