Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 83%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$101.02
Smart Money Signal
16 of 20 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $575.82 | $581.64 | +$5.82 | 80% 53864-13832 (67696) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $114.78 | $136.37 | +$21.59 | 52% 5647-5267 (10914) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.2¢ | $57.58 | $136.37 | +$78.79 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.2¢ | $57.2 | — | -$57.2 | |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 45.1¢ | $23.98 | $53.15 | +$29.17 | 76% 26083-8095 (34178) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $23.87 | $53 | +$29.13 | 71% 20504-8371 (28875) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $28.59 | $50 | +$21.41 | 70% 46473-19740 (66213) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 57.6¢ | $27.63 | $47.93 | +$20.3 | 57% 32394-24860 (57254) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 75.1¢ | $25.95 | $34.55 | +$8.6 | 62% 13762-8615 (22377) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $18.59 | $25.34 | +$6.76 | 59% 19577-13458 (33035) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $24.42 | $25.18 | +$0.76 | 58% 11010-8076 (19086) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $16.5 | — | -$16.5 | 23% 13726-45775 (59501) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $13.29 | $16.84 | +$3.55 | 63% 18916-11136 (30052) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $12.74 | $16.8 | +$4.06 | 76% 23816-7542 (31358) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $8.76 | $12 | +$3.24 | 58% 16129-11743 (27872) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $8.3 | $15 | +$6.7 | 54% 9455-8054 (17509) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $3.84 | $5 | +$1.16 | 83% 27963-5718 (33681) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $3.25 | $5 | +$1.75 | 83% 59673-11815 (71488) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.5 | $5.21 | +$2.71 | 69% 27824-12306 (40130) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $37.88 | — | -$37.88 | 60% 15015-9882 (24897) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 59% 15172-10589 (25761) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15985-14804 (30789) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 46.3¢ | $11.35 | — | +$12.91 | 67% 13368-6654 (20022) |
BoneOhioInvested
$575.82
Value
$581.64
PnL
+$5.82
Record
80%
53864-13832 (67696)
Invested
$114.78
Value
$136.37
PnL
+$21.59
Record
52%
5647-5267 (10914)
Both legs:
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.98
Value
$53.15
PnL
+$29.17
Record
76%
26083-8095 (34178)
Invested
$23.87
Value
$53
PnL
+$29.13
Record
71%
20504-8371 (28875)
Invested
$28.59
Value
$50
PnL
+$21.41
Record
70%
46473-19740 (66213)
Invested
$27.63
Value
$47.93
PnL
+$20.3
Record
57%
32394-24860 (57254)
Invested
$25.95
Value
$34.55
PnL
+$8.6
Record
62%
13762-8615 (22377)
Invested
$18.59
Value
$25.34
PnL
+$6.76
Record
59%
19577-13458 (33035)
Invested
$24.42
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$0.76
Record
58%
11010-8076 (19086)
Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
-$16.5
Record
23%
13726-45775 (59501)
Invested
$13.29
Value
$16.84
PnL
+$3.55
Record
63%
18916-11136 (30052)
Invested
$12.74
Value
$16.8
PnL
+$4.06
Record
76%
23816-7542 (31358)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.76
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.24
Record
58%
16129-11743 (27872)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.7
Record
54%
9455-8054 (17509)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$3.84
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.16
Record
83%
27963-5718 (33681)
Invested
$3.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.75
Record
83%
59673-11815 (71488)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$5.21
PnL
+$2.71
Record
69%
27824-12306 (40130)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$37.88
Value
—
PnL
-$37.88
Record
60%
15015-9882 (24897)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
59%
15172-10589 (25761)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15985-14804 (30789)
Invested
$11.35
Value
—
PnL
+$12.91
Record
67%
13368-6654 (20022)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $581.64
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
Down — $53.15
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $53
Bonereaper
Down — $50
uninformedfloww
Down — $47.93
asidjasiodja
Down — $34.55
rabadabadoo
Down — $25.34
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $25.18
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp — $0