Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Up 55%
$202.22
-$14.17
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $73.73 | $86.38 | +$12.65 | 52% 5647-5267 (10914) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89.2¢ | $90.43 | $95.55 | +$5.12 | 60% 15015-9882 (24897) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.8¢ | $12.2 | — | -$12.2 | 59% 19577-13458 (33035) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.2¢ | $10.55 | $10.18 | -$0.37 | 76% 23816-7542 (31358) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 54% 9455-8054 (17509) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $3.62 | $5 | +$1.38 | 62% 13762-8615 (22377) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 23% 13726-45775 (59501) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.17 | — | -$5.17 | 70% 46473-19740 (66213) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.6 | $5.11 | +$0.51 | 56% 14881-11866 (26747) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 79% 27890-7345 (35235) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.5¢ | $4.33 | — | -$4.33 | 58% 16129-11743 (27872) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 67% 13368-6654 (20022) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15985-14804 (30789) |
Invested
$73.73
Value
$86.38
PnL
+$12.65
Record
52%
5647-5267 (10914)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$90.43
Value
$95.55
PnL
+$5.12
Record
60%
15015-9882 (24897)
Invested
$12.2
Value
—
PnL
-$12.2
Record
59%
19577-13458 (33035)
Invested
$10.55
Value
$10.18
PnL
-$0.37
Record
76%
23816-7542 (31358)
Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
54%
9455-8054 (17509)
Invested
$3.62
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.38
Record
62%
13762-8615 (22377)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
23%
13726-45775 (59501)
Invested
$5.17
Value
—
PnL
-$5.17
Record
70%
46473-19740 (66213)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.51
Record
56%
14881-11866 (26747)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
79%
27890-7345 (35235)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.33
Value
—
PnL
-$4.33
Record
58%
16129-11743 (27872)
Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
67%
13368-6654 (20022)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15985-14804 (30789)
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