Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 63%
$630.85
-$113.77
Smart Money Signal
12 of 20 top traders (60%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 56.9¢ | $187.53 | $307.2 | +$119.68 | 57% 32385-24852 (57237) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $152.15 | $154.76 | +$2.6 | 93% 20273-1625 (21898) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 38.8¢ | $149.52 | — | -$149.52 | 52% 5636-5247 (10883) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.2¢ | $47.89 | — | -$47.89 | 59% 19576-13458 (33034) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $31.06 | $30 | -$1.06 | 54% 9443-8045 (17488) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $32.65 | — | -$32.65 | 60% 14998-9874 (24872) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $29.86 | $26 | -$3.86 | 58% 16115-11728 (27843) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $17.27 | $21.31 | +$4.05 | 61% 13734-8610 (22344) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $16.99 | $17.06 | +$0.07 | 62% 40549-24861 (65410) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.6¢ | $15.42 | — | -$15.42 | 70% 46020-19736 (65756) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $39.92 | $22.27 | +$6.56 | 67% 13335-6637 (19972) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $16.72 | $25.18 | +$8.46 | 76% 25935-8080 (34015) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.3¢ | $9.49 | — | -$9.49 | 83% 27768-5710 (33478) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $8.68 | — | -$8.68 | 83% 59427-11805 (71232) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48.3¢ | $4.73 | $9.79 | +$5.06 | 71% 20480-8366 (28846) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $3.48 | $6.56 | +$3.08 | 58% 11007-8068 (19075) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $2.63 | $5.72 | +$3.09 | 69% 27461-12297 (39758) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.4 | $5 | +$2.6 | 76% 23707-7535 (31242) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 63% 18834-11120 (29954) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15983-14799 (30782) |
Invested
$187.53
Value
$307.2
PnL
+$119.68
Record
57%
32385-24852 (57237)
Invested
$152.15
Value
$154.76
PnL
+$2.6
Record
93%
20273-1625 (21898)
Invested
$149.52
Value
—
PnL
-$149.52
Record
52%
5636-5247 (10883)
Invested
$47.89
Value
—
PnL
-$47.89
Record
59%
19576-13458 (33034)
Invested
$31.06
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.06
Record
54%
9443-8045 (17488)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$32.65
Value
—
PnL
-$32.65
Record
60%
14998-9874 (24872)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$29.86
Value
$26
PnL
-$3.86
Record
58%
16115-11728 (27843)
Invested
$17.27
Value
$21.31
PnL
+$4.05
Record
61%
13734-8610 (22344)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.99
Value
$17.06
PnL
+$0.07
Record
62%
40549-24861 (65410)
Invested
$15.42
Value
—
PnL
-$15.42
Record
70%
46020-19736 (65756)
Invested
$39.92
Value
$22.27
PnL
+$6.56
Record
67%
13335-6637 (19972)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16.72
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$8.46
Record
76%
25935-8080 (34015)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$9.49
Value
—
PnL
-$9.49
Record
83%
27768-5710 (33478)
Invested
$8.68
Value
—
PnL
-$8.68
Record
83%
59427-11805 (71232)
Invested
$4.73
Value
$9.79
PnL
+$5.06
Record
71%
20480-8366 (28846)
Invested
$3.48
Value
$6.56
PnL
+$3.08
Record
58%
11007-8068 (19075)
Invested
$2.63
Value
$5.72
PnL
+$3.09
Record
69%
27461-12297 (39758)
Invested
$2.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.6
Record
76%
23707-7535 (31242)
Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
63%
18834-11120 (29954)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15983-14799 (30782)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $307.2
hoodquant
Down — $154.76
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $30
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $26
asidjasiodja
Down — $21.31
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $17.06
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0