Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 50%
$480.4
$1.45
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $240.39 | $243.38 | +$2.99 | 93% 20228-1619 (21847) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $94.7 | $111.35 | +$16.65 | 52% 5618-5221 (10839) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | $58.81 | $52.97 | +$4.47 | 67% 13299-6604 (19903) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 59.2¢ | $40.04 | $47.7 | +$7.66 | 60% 14506-9855 (24361) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $15.94 | $20 | +$4.06 | 58% 16086-11671 (27757) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $13.73 | — | -$13.73 | 54% 9424-8028 (17452) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $14.64 | — | -$10.44 | 82% 26523-5688 (32211) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $9.5 | — | -$9.5 | 69% 43154-19724 (62878) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $7.3 | $5 | -$2.3 | 56% 14830-11836 (26666) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 23% 13696-45390 (59086) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 58% 14652-10395 (25047) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $12.96 | — | +$3.19 | 52% 15975-14791 (30766) |
Invested
$240.39
Value
$243.38
PnL
+$2.99
Record
93%
20228-1619 (21847)
Invested
$94.7
Value
$111.35
PnL
+$16.65
Record
52%
5618-5221 (10839)
Invested
$58.81
Value
$52.97
PnL
+$4.47
Record
67%
13299-6604 (19903)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$40.04
Value
$47.7
PnL
+$7.66
Record
60%
14506-9855 (24361)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.94
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.06
Record
58%
16086-11671 (27757)
Invested
$13.73
Value
—
PnL
-$13.73
Record
54%
9424-8028 (17452)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$14.64
Value
—
PnL
-$10.44
Record
82%
26523-5688 (32211)
Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
69%
43154-19724 (62878)
Invested
$7.3
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.3
Record
56%
14830-11836 (26666)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
23%
13696-45390 (59086)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
58%
14652-10395 (25047)
Invested
$12.96
Value
—
PnL
+$3.19
Record
52%
15975-14791 (30766)
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