Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 68%
$524.89
-$44.96
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 76.3Β’ | $269.74 | $254.1 | -$15.63 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $63.36 | $64 | +$0.64 | 93% 20154-1617 (21771) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $49.56 | $46 | -$3.56 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93.8Β’ | $38.47 | $39 | +$0.53 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 55.4Β’ | $16.73 | $16.45 | -$0.28 | 59% 18579-12793 (31372) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $21.45 | $20 | -$1.45 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 79.5Β’ | $16 | $20.13 | +$4.13 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 91.4Β’ | $17.42 | $19.06 | +$1.64 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1Β’ | $14.57 | β | -$14.57 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94.4Β’ | $16.25 | $17.22 | +$0.97 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.5Β’ | $14.42 | $16.67 | +$2.25 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.5Β’ | $15.66 | β | -$15.66 | 69% 41473-18920 (60393) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.7Β’ | $7.33 | β | -$7.33 | 67% 23185-11428 (34613) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 58.4Β’ | $4.78 | $8.19 | +$3.41 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.3Β’ | $2.52 | β | -$2.52 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $2.02 | $2.08 | +$0.06 | 83% 44804-8899 (53703) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $3.22 | $2 | +$3.53 | 53% 11852-10386 (22238) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $0.95 | β | -$0.95 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.1Β’ | $0.16 | β | -$0.16 | 58% 14506-10295 (24801) |
Invested
$269.74
Value
$254.1
PnL
-$15.63
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
Invested
$63.36
Value
$64
PnL
+$0.64
Record
93%
20154-1617 (21771)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$49.56
Value
$46
PnL
-$3.56
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$38.47
Value
$39
PnL
+$0.53
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$16.73
Value
$16.45
PnL
-$0.28
Record
59%
18579-12793 (31372)
Invested
$21.45
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.45
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Invested
$16
Value
$20.13
PnL
+$4.13
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$17.42
Value
$19.06
PnL
+$1.64
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$14.57
Value
β
PnL
-$14.57
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
Invested
$16.25
Value
$17.22
PnL
+$0.97
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
Invested
$14.42
Value
$16.67
PnL
+$2.25
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$15.66
Value
β
PnL
-$15.66
Record
69%
41473-18920 (60393)
Invested
$7.33
Value
β
PnL
-$7.33
Record
67%
23185-11428 (34613)
Invested
$4.78
Value
$8.19
PnL
+$3.41
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$2.52
Value
β
PnL
-$2.52
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
$2.08
PnL
+$0.06
Record
83%
44804-8899 (53703)
Invested
$3.22
Value
$2
PnL
+$3.53
Record
53%
11852-10386 (22238)
Invested
$0.95
Value
β
PnL
-$0.95
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
β
PnL
-$0.16
Record
58%
14506-10295 (24801)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up β $254.1
hoodquant
Up β $64

MayorMamdani
Up β $46
asidjasiodja
Up β $39
rabadabadoo
Up β $16.45
thesidehustle
Up β $20
devonpoll
Up β $20.13

UpandDownSyndrome
Up β $19.06

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $17.22