Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 57%
$352.7
$22.89
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.8¢ | $61 | $61.76 | +$0.76 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $51.36 | $103.66 | +$52.3 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 49.2¢ | $37.88 | $72.69 | +$34.81 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.3¢ | $41.16 | — | -$41.16 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $30.75 | $46.28 | +$15.53 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 63.4¢ | $34.35 | $44.92 | +$15.13 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $34.69 | — | -$34.69 | 57% 12593-9662 (22255) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $13.77 | — | -$13.77 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 34.6¢ | $5.69 | $12.16 | +$6.47 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $8.45 | — | -$8.45 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $7.95 | — | -$7.95 | 58% 10472-7684 (18156) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $4.02 | $6 | +$1.98 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $2.15 | $5.24 | +$3.09 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 59% 18579-12793 (31372) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$61
Value
$61.76
PnL
+$0.76
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$51.36
Value
$103.66
PnL
+$52.3
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$37.88
Value
$72.69
PnL
+$34.81
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$41.16
Value
—
PnL
-$41.16
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
Invested
$30.75
Value
$46.28
PnL
+$15.53
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
Invested
$34.35
Value
$44.92
PnL
+$15.13
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$34.69
Value
—
PnL
-$34.69
Record
57%
12593-9662 (22255)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.77
Value
—
PnL
-$13.77
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$5.69
Value
$12.16
PnL
+$6.47
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Invested
$8.45
Value
—
PnL
-$8.45
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$7.95
Value
—
PnL
-$7.95
Record
58%
10472-7684 (18156)
Invested
$4.02
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.98
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5.24
PnL
+$3.09
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
59%
18579-12793 (31372)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $61.76
ply-pm2
Down — $103.66
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $72.69
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $46.28
aaa221
Down — $44.92
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $12.16
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0