Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$200.28

Combined PnL

-$118.74

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares172

Combined PnL-$121.37

Down7 traders

Total Value$140.9

Total Shares141

Combined PnL+$2.63

Up — 46%Down — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 57.3¢	$137.09	$59.38	-$77.7	52% 5547-5155 (10702)
└ Down leg	Downavg 27.3¢	$16.22	$59.38	+$43.17
└ Up leg	Upavg 57.3¢	$120.87	—	-$120.87
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 50.4¢	$39.39	—	-$39.39	59% 14166-9784 (23950)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$51.12	$45	-$6.12	61% 13569-8539 (22108)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 79.9¢	$47.78	—	-$47.78	58% 6469-4604 (11073)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 53.8¢	$38	$41.63	+$3.63	77% 41364-12330 (53694)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 56.7¢	$18.52	—	-$18.52	82% 25791-5637 (31428)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 88.6¢	$20.66	$13	-$7.66	75% 22486-7474 (29960)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 97¢	$12.93	$13.33	+$0.4	93% 20154-1617 (21771)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 19.7¢	$5.93	—	-$5.93	58% 15987-11596 (27583)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$9.75	—	-$9.75	69% 41473-18920 (60393)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 27.7¢	$4.4	$15.88	+$11.48	59% 18579-12793 (31372)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Downavg 97¢	$8.66	$5	-$3.66	54% 9369-7985 (17354)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 35.4¢	$2.5	$7.05	+$4.55	62% 18051-11002 (29053)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	52% 15316-14141 (29457)