Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 38%
1 arb excluded
$688.21
-$45.26
Smart Money Signal
7 of 17 top traders (41%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 96¢ | $439.02 | $457.31 | +$18.29 | 93% 20154-1617 (21771) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $189.98 | $152.22 | -$37.76 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 8.7¢ | $55.85 | — | -$55.85 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 88.1¢ | $134.13 | $152.22 | +$18.09 | |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | $19.22 | — | -$19.22 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $29.44 | $26 | -$3.44 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $18.52 | $18.12 | -$0.4 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.1¢ | $12.73 | — | -$12.73 | 59% 18579-12793 (31372) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $4.8 | $5.28 | +$0.48 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 97.3¢ | $14.94 | $15 | +$0.06 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $9.99 | — | -$9.99 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $13.28 | $14.28 | +$1 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 69% 41473-18920 (60393) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.5¢ | $6.45 | — | -$6.45 | 56% 14781-11800 (26581) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $3.03 | — | -$0.82 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 58% 14506-10295 (24801) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
Invested
$439.02
Value
$457.31
PnL
+$18.29
Record
93%
20154-1617 (21771)
Invested
$189.98
Value
$152.22
PnL
-$37.76
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$19.22
Value
—
PnL
-$19.22
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
Invested
$29.44
Value
$26
PnL
-$3.44
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$18.52
Value
$18.12
PnL
-$0.4
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
Invested
$12.73
Value
—
PnL
-$12.73
Record
59%
18579-12793 (31372)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.28
PnL
+$0.48
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$14.94
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.06
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Invested
$9.99
Value
—
PnL
-$9.99
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
Invested
$13.28
Value
$14.28
PnL
+$1
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
69%
41473-18920 (60393)
Invested
$6.45
Value
—
PnL
-$6.45
Record
56%
14781-11800 (26581)
Invested
$3.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
58%
14506-10295 (24801)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $457.31
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $26
asdaefef
Up — $18.12
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $5.28
thesidehustle
Up — $15
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $14.28