Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 64%
$354.15
-$165.71
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $214.47 | $197.88 | -$16.6 | 52% 5547-5155 (10702) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.9¢ | $39.68 | — | -$39.68 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 85.9¢ | $78.1 | — | -$78.1 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $65.14 | $48 | -$17.14 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $28.79 | $33.55 | +$4.76 | 59% 18579-12793 (31372) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.2¢ | $39.55 | $31.89 | -$7.66 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.4¢ | $21.7 | — | -$21.7 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $16.55 | $30.66 | +$14.11 | 56% 14781-11800 (26581) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $5.8 | $5 | -$0.8 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.07 | $7.16 | +$6.09 | 58% 14506-10295 (24801) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
Invested
$214.47
Value
$197.88
PnL
-$16.6
Record
52%
5547-5155 (10702)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$39.68
Value
—
PnL
-$39.68
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
Invested
$78.1
Value
—
PnL
-$78.1
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
Invested
$65.14
Value
$48
PnL
-$17.14
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$28.79
Value
$33.55
PnL
+$4.76
Record
59%
18579-12793 (31372)
Invested
$39.55
Value
$31.89
PnL
-$7.66
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$21.7
Value
—
PnL
-$21.7
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$16.55
Value
$30.66
PnL
+$14.11
Record
56%
14781-11800 (26581)
Invested
$5.8
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.8
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.07
Value
$7.16
PnL
+$6.09
Record
58%
14506-10295 (24801)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $197.88
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $48
rabadabadoo
Down — $33.55
asdaefef
Down — $31.89
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $30.66
thesidehustle
Down — $5